Sikkim earthquake


 

It is not happy news when you hear the predictions for bad times happen. However such news is keenly awaited to make sure that our understanding and analysis of astrology is correct. It happened with what I wrote a few days ago in the article titled  

Solar flares again!

In connection with that, I want to give some more information.
On the astrological factors for identifying terror attacks, I have given the basics in this article.

Astrological views on Mumbai blasts (July 13, 2011)

In the immediate future, Kazab – type worst kind of terror attack is not likely to happen. By this I mean that terror time combinations do exist at present by some minimal way.
The days to be careful are Sep 30th, Oct 1st and Oct 2nd. (West of India is vulnerable. Mumbai, Pune and Gujarat must remain vigilant)
Again on 6th, 7th and 8th of October, skirmishes in South India – not exactly terror strikes – are likely.
On the earthquake side, the occurrence of the average 6.8 magnitude had caused heavy casualties because of the terrain where it occurred. Geologists have expected many after- shocks but that did not materialize. It would not, when the earthquake happens on shashti thithi.
Read my old article on parameters for predicting earthquakes in
Based on the inputs from that research I would say that no immediate danger to the same place  (Sikkim) is seen in the near future. However starting from 30th September to 2nd October, when Moon will be passing through Scorpio, some other section of North India in the west of the present site of earthquake is likely.
But the worst kind of earthquakes – something like a season of earthquakes is possible in the 2nd half of 2012. At that time the western part of the Pacific Ring of Fire will be under focus.  The current transit of the nodes and Saturn’s aspect to Aries and Cancer after it moves to Libra would not leave the earth rattle -free. When Rahu and Ketu are transiting or aspecting the Martian signs of Aries and Scorpio, the earth cannot remain quiet.
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From
Sikkim earthquake unusual, say geologists
BANGALORE: The earthquake that rocked Sikkim Sunday is unusual in terms of its magnitude and nature of origin, say leading geologists.”There is nothing surprising in this earthquake as the region north of Sikkim, which forms the outliers of Tibetan tectonics, is known for moderate earthquakes in the past,” C.P. Rajendran at the Indian Institute of Science here told IANS.

But what makes it different is its “unusually greater magnitude”.

These earthquakes are different in the sense they are along the somewhat north-south structures trending transverse to the east-west Himalayan axis, Rajendran said. They are different from the usual Himalayan thrust earthquakes that are caused by the collision of the Indian plate with the Eurasian plate.

Vineet Gahaulat at the National Geophysical Research Institute (NGRI) in Hyderabad said: “The (Sikkim) earthquake highlights the presence of the role of transverse features in the Himalayas.”

“This 6.9 magnitude earthquake possibly occurred on a northwest-southeast trending almost vertical fault through strike slip motion.”

“This is what we generally do not expect in the Himalayas,” Gahaulat said. “We expect large magnitude earthquakes on the detachment having thrust motion on gently dipping planes – like the 1999 Chamoli and 1991 Uttarkashi earthquakes.”

Gahaulat said the role of transverse features in segmenting the Himalayan arc and accommodating some of the convergence of the India-Eurasia plates have been talked about earlier.

“But this one (Sikkim quake) makes it clearer as this is possibly the largest magnitude earthquake of this type in the Himalayas.”

Gahaulat is also surprised at the fewer number of aftershocks – only two to three aftershocks of magnitude greater than 4.5. “So where are all the aftershocks gone? Are they yet to occur in the following days,” he asked.

According to Gahaulat, “we need to be careful” if, in the coming days, the aftershocks occur southeast of the main shock epicentre – the way two aftershocks have occurred.

“The region where the main shock occurred has very low population density, but further southeast, population density is higher,” he cautioned.

“The occurrence of this earthquake does not lower down the threat from the great earthquake which we expect in the Himalayas,” the NGRI scientist warned.

The one (or more) which is expected will be a thrust type earthquake on the detachment which will be much more devastating than this one, he said.

“We need to treat each and every earthquake in a special way, you just need to turn it around and it will tell a somewhat different story.”

Rajendran, however, does not think this particular event in Sikkim can be treated as a precursory signal to any major earthquake that may occur in future along the Himalayan arc.

“Having said that, the fact remains that some historically earthquake-deficient parts of the Himalayas has the potential to generate large earthquakes any time, irrespective of the present earthquake,” he cautioned

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